The information needed to predict which middle-aged patients will develop type 2 diabetes is readily available, a study in Archives of Internal Medicine finds.
Using data from 3140 middle-aged participants in the Framingham Offspring Study, 99% of whom where white, researchers developed a simple algorithm that assigns points based on a parental history of diabetes and measurements of fasting glucose, BMI, HDL, triglycerides, and blood pressure. Point totals correspond to a range of 8-year risks for type 2 diabetes; the lowest score translates to a risk of 3% or less, the highest score to a risk of more than 35%.
The authors write that the algorithm needs to be validated in other populations.
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